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Mike, are you familiar with Gartner's concept of the hype cycle? Wikipedia offers a good intro link, but you can find information elsewhere online too.
It sounds like you're hearing the buzz as we approach the "Peak of Inflated Expectations" where everyone rushes to adopt social learning because it's new and cool . . . and promises to solve all of our problems--even though there's no strategy in-place..
Here's my thought. We'll see course designers and companies implement social learning as the "new thing" and expect it to solve all the organization's learning needs. This approach will fail (in some cases spectacularly) and many people will form a the equally-hasty opinion that "social learning doesn't work." At that point, we'll ride down the Trough of Disillusionment.
But, some of us will ignore both the hype and the disillusionment. We'll look at the tool and say, "hey, this could be powerful. Let's figure out how to use it effectively." We'll tinker around, individually in our ID workshops and with like-minded folks until we find solutions that work.
BTW, I liked the piece from Andrew Sullivan. He keeps a rather thoughtful blog. But then again, I've also found an interesting through-line from the blog back to the Essays of Michel de Montaigne. In 16th Century France, Montaigne looked inward critically and asked 'Que sais-je?' ('What do I know?')
In many ways, that's a good motto for a blogger.
Bill you are dead on with the hype cycle. While the industry tries to figure out exactly how to be use this, there are a number of mavens out there that have the recipe. The use of things like virtual worlds has application immediatly, if you can be creative with the approach. I suggest you check out subquark.com . He presented at a number of eLearning Guild conferences. He has put 2.0 in action. His sessions were not all theory as many are, he explained how to do it, in detail.

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